Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.001644 0.001750 0.001859 0.001980 0.002112 0.002250 0.002406
2025-01-26 0.001431 0.001573 0.001726 0.001903 0.002103 0.002322 0.002582
2025-02-02 0.001358 0.001531 0.001723 0.001953 0.002221 0.002528 0.002905
2025-02-09 0.001294 0.001489 0.001711 0.001985 0.002314 0.002701 0.003193
2025-02-16 0.001271 0.001489 0.001744 0.002066 0.002464 0.002944 0.003575
2025-02-23 0.001210 0.001440 0.001714 0.002065 0.002510 0.003060 0.003803
2025-03-02 0.001130 0.001361 0.001640 0.002005 0.002476 0.003071 0.003892
2025-03-09 0.001067 0.001301 0.001586 0.001966 0.002464 0.003106 0.004011
2025-03-16 0.001027 0.001266 0.001562 0.001962 0.002496 0.003197 0.004208
2025-03-23 0.000983 0.001223 0.001525 0.001939 0.002500 0.003250 0.004352
2025-03-30 0.000947 0.001190 0.001499 0.001928 0.002518 0.003321 0.004524
2025-04-06 0.000903 0.001144 0.001453 0.001888 0.002495 0.003332 0.004610
2025-04-13 0.000865 0.001107 0.001422 0.001872 0.002511 0.003408 0.004808
2025-04-20 0.000808 0.001044 0.001354 0.001801 0.002445 0.003364 0.004827
2025-04-27 0.000799 0.001043 0.001369 0.001847 0.002550 0.003575 0.005248
2025-05-04 0.000784 0.001034 0.001373 0.001877 0.002631 0.003755 0.005634
2025-05-11 0.000785 0.001047 0.001407 0.001953 0.002785 0.004052 0.006230
2025-05-18 0.000762 0.001025 0.001391 0.001952 0.002821 0.004168 0.006535
2025-05-25 0.000724 0.000980 0.001340 0.001896 0.002768 0.004140 0.006590
2025-06-01 0.000694 0.000946 0.001302 0.001860 0.002744 0.004154 0.006718
2025-06-08 0.000675 0.000927 0.001286 0.001856 0.002771 0.004254 0.007004
2025-06-15 0.000652 0.000901 0.001260 0.001834 0.002768 0.004303 0.007202
2025-06-22 0.000633 0.000882 0.001242 0.001824 0.002782 0.004381 0.007457